Slow progress: monsoon rains 25% lower than normal so far

After an early start on the coast of Kerala and a period of slow progress thereafter, the southwest monsoon has moved to Gujarat, parts of Maharashtra, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Odisha and southern Madhya Pradesh, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Thursday. .

The Met department has forecast heavy rainfall for the next five days in coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Kerala, Goa, Maharashtra, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.

The northern region, which is teetering under a heat wave, will see some relief with rain expected in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.

Private weather forecaster Skymet said: “The entire plain of northwest India will get some relief from the heat and good rain will also fall in Uttarakhand and Punjab on Friday.”

The IMD also predicts that an intense period of rain is likely to continue over West Bengal and Sikkim for the next five days.
A Met department official told FE that the intensity of the monsoon would increase over the next five days, with widespread rains in several regions of the country.

From June 1-16, the cumulative average monsoon rain was 51.3mm, which was 25% less than the normal volume of 68.1mm.

Only the east-north region has so far received 27% more monsoon rain than the normal volume, while a cumulative rain deficit in the southern peninsula was reported at 31%. Northwest India and Central India have precipitation deficits of 72% and 60% respectively.

On May 31, the Met department said monsoons this year would be more than what it forecast in April, at 103% of the benchmark long-term average (LPA), with an 81% chance that rainfall would be “normal” or “normal.” “is. above.

The rains will also be well distributed spatially across the four broad regions and most parts of the country, the agency had said. In its June forecast, the Met department predicted normal rainfall in the range of 92-108% of LPA.

With the progress of monsoon, sowing activities for kharif crops such as paddy rice, pulses, oilseeds and coarse grains have started. Agriculture ministry officials said that despite the slow start to monsoon rains, the window for the completion of sowing the kharif crop is until the end of July.

Meanwhile, average water levels in 143 major reservoirs in the country are currently rising 5% year on year, the Central Water Commission said Thursday. The water level is also 33% higher than the average of the last 10 years.

Reservoirs currently hold 51.05 billion cubic meters (BCM) of water, which is about 29% of their combined capacity. A year ago, 48.65 BCM of water was available in these reservoirs, while the average of the last 10 years is 38.42 BCM, according to the latest CWC memorandum.

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